Will Microsoft say “Copilot”?

Microsoft said “Copilot” 32 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 61, 41, 24, 36, 42, 40, 44, 32 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft said “Copilot” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 81% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

81%from settlement history only · n=4Next: Keynote, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
86¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Copilot

Probability
81% · n=4
Settled
4/4 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 32 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

32 counted (23 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 4:31Hear it 4:29, Satya Nadella In transcript

…across silicon systems and software. For example, we increased the throughput for Copilot workloads 4x since the start of the year. AI sovereignty is increasingly…

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 7:34Hear it 7:29, Satya Nadella In transcript

…great results. For example, millions of developers have used MAI-Code-1-Flash on GitHub Copilot, achieving higher code acceptance rates and 10% lower median token usage while…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 44 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

44 counted (36 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…revenue earlier. We delivered a 40% improvement in inference throughput for our most used models across Copilot, driven by our software and hardware optimization work.

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…also remain focused on our first-party model work to differentiate our high-value copilots and agents and reduce cogs. We introduced MAI-Transcribe-1, a state-of-the-art speech-to-text model,…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 40 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

40 counted (30 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…achieve in one of our highest volume workloads, OpenAI inferencing, powering our co-pilots. And another example was the unlocking of new capabilities and efficiencies for…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 42 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 36 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 24 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 41 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 61 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026CopilotKalshiYes–
Oct 29, 2025CopilotPolymarketYes42
Oct 29, 2025CopilotKalshiYes42
Jul 30, 2025CopilotPolymarketYes41
Jul 30, 2025CopilotKalshiYes36
Apr 30, 2025CopilotKalshiYes24

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Copilot” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “Copilot” 32 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 61, 41, 24, 36, 42, 40, 44, 32 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Copilot”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft said “Copilot” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Copilot” next time?
81%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Copilot’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/copilot (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=copilot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP