Will Microsoft say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
Microsoft said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” 28 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 68, 64, 56, 43, 51, 26, 31, 28 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 81% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 81% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
28 counted (28 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…surpassed $100 billion, up 41%. Going forward, we have two goals. Ensuring AI empowers every person, amplifying their agency and ambition, and empowering every organization…
…the throughput for Copilot workloads 4x since the start of the year. AI sovereignty is increasingly top of mind for our customers, and we are…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
31 counted (27 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Microsoft Cloud, which exceeded $54 billion in revenue, up 29% year-over-year. Our AI business surpassed $37 billion ARR, up 123%. We are at the beginning…
…against two priorities. First, we are building the world's leading cloud and AI infrastructure for agentic computing era. Second, we are building high-value agentic systems…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
26 counted (25 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 9 by speakers the rule does not count.
…our platform and accelerating demand. We are in the beginning phases of AI diffusion and its broad GDP impact. TAM will grow substantially across every…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 29, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Polymarket | Yes | 54 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 51 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 43 |
Questions
- How many times did Microsoft say “AI / Artificial Intelligence” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” 28 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 68, 64, 56, 43, 51, 26, 31, 28 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 81%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP