Will Microsoft say “Cybersecurity”?

Microsoft did not say “Cybersecurity” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Cybersecurity” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

56%from settlement history only · n=6Next: Keynote, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
32¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Cybersecurity

Probability
56% · n=6
Settled
2/6 (33%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…actual usage and costs. When it comes to security, the physics of cybersecurity has changed as AI compresses the window between vulnerability and exploitation. To…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026CybersecurityPolymarketYes1
Jul 29, 2026CybersecurityKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026CybersecurityKalshiYes1
Jan 28, 2026CybersecurityKalshiNo0
Oct 29, 2025CybersecurityPolymarketNo0
Oct 29, 2025CybersecurityKalshiNo0
Jul 30, 2025CybersecurityPolymarketNo0
Jul 30, 2025CybersecurityKalshiNo0
Apr 30, 2025CybersecurityKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Cybersecurity” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft did not say “Cybersecurity” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Cybersecurity”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Cybersecurity” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Cybersecurity” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Cybersecurity’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/cybersecurity (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=cybersecurity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP