Will Microsoft say “Capital Expenditure / Capex”?
Microsoft said “Capital Expenditure / Capex” 11 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 6, 8, 7, 4, 8, 10, 11 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Capital Expenditure / Capex” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Sep 9, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Capital Expenditure / Capex
- Probability
- 78% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
11 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…$2.8 billion, driven by the gain on investment in Anthropic noted earlier. Capital expenditures were $41 billion, including the impact from higher component pricing as…
Free cash flow was $19.6 billion, reflecting higher capital expenditures. Finally, we returned $10.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, bringing our total…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
10 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…on investments that were partially offset by losses on foreign currency remeasurement. Capital expenditures were $31.9 billion, down sequentially due to the normal variability from…
Cash paid for PP&E was $30.9 billion, roughly in line with capital expenditures, as the impact from finance leases was partially offset by differences between…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…slightly negative and lower than expected driven by net losses on investments. Capital expenditures were $37.5 billion in this quarter, roughly two-thirds of our CapEx,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Capital Expenditure / Capex |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Capital Expenditure / Capex” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft said “Capital Expenditure / Capex” 11 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 6, 8, 7, 4, 8, 10, 11 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “Capital Expenditure / Capex”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Capital Expenditure / Capex” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Capital Expenditure / Capex” next time?
- 78%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Capital Expenditure / Capex’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/capex-or-capital-expenditure (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=capex%20%2F%20capital%20expenditure · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP