Will Microsoft say “Layoff / Job Cut”?
Microsoft did not say “Layoff / Job Cut” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Layoff / Job Cut” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Layoff / Job Cut
- Probability
- 23% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Layoff / Job Cut |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Layoff / Job Cut |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Layoff / Job Cuts | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Layoff / Job Cut” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft did not say “Layoff / Job Cut” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), or on any of its last 8 calls.
- How often does Microsoft say “Layoff / Job Cut”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Layoff / Job Cut” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Layoff / Job Cut” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Layoff / Job Cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/job-cut-or-layoff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=job%20cut%20%2F%20layoff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP