Will Microsoft say “GitHub”?

Microsoft said “GitHub” 11 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 7, 3, 19, 11, 12, 11, 11 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “GitHub” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

63%from settlement history only · n=2Next: Keynote, Nov 17, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
71¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

GitHub

Probability
63% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 11 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

11 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 7:33Hear it 7:29, Satya Nadella In transcript

…with great results. For example, millions of developers have used MAI-Code-1-Flash on GitHub Copilot, achieving higher code acceptance rates and 10% lower median token usage…

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 15:42Hear it 15:40, Satya Nadella In transcript

When it comes to developers, GitHub Copilot now has 50 million users. This quarter, we introduced usage-based billing and have continued to see business and…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 11 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

11 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…a $450 million annualized revenue run rate. When it comes to developers, GitHub itself is seeing unprecedented growth driven by proliferation of agentic coding, and…

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…have nearly tripled year-over-year. The majority of users leverage multiple models. We're also seeing rapid adoption of GitHub Copilot CLI, with usage nearly doubling month-over-month.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

12 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…potential customers. In coding, we are seeing strong growth across all paid GitHub Copilot. Copilot Pro Plus subs for individual devs increased 77% quarter over…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 19 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 13 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026GitHubKalshiYes11
Apr 30, 2025GitHubKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “GitHub” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “GitHub” 11 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 7, 3, 19, 11, 12, 11, 11 times.
How often does Microsoft say “GitHub”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “GitHub” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “GitHub” next time?
63%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘GitHub’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/github (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=github · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP