# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-03-22 (settled) · 32 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-22 · as_of 2026-10-26T08:40:40Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-22 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-22 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	60	44	0.73	nnYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.82	hist	0	0	yes	1
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	48	32	0.67	YYYYYnYYYY	1	0	0.72	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	83	46	0.55	YnnYYYYYnn	1	1	0.65	hist	0	0	yes	1
No No No	no no no	9	6	0.67	YYYYYYnnn	1	0	0.62	hist	0	0	yes	1
Doug / Burgum	burgum|doug	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.56	hist	0	0	no	1
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Wind / Solar	solar|wind	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Democrat Shutdown	democrat shutdown	7	4	0.57	YYYYnnn	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Medal of Honor	medal of honor	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Armada	armada	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Nancy / Pelosi	nancy|pelosi	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Hillary / Clinton	clinton|hillary	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Khamenei	khamenei	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
Women's Sports	women's sport	16	11	0.69	YYYYnYYnnn	1	1	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
UFC	ufc	15	7	0.47	nYYYYnnnnY	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
President Xi	president xi	21	8	0.38	YnnnnnnnYn	1	0	0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
Putin	putin	64	36	0.56	nYnYYnnYnn	1	1	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Too Big to Rig	too big to rig	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	1	0	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
What's Up	what's up	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Claude / Anthropic	anthropic|claude	0	0			1	0	0.42	hist	0	0	no	1
Ceasefire	ceasefire	29	6	0.21	nnnnnYYnnn	1	0	0.37	hist	0	0	yes	1
Migrant Crime	migrant crime	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.37	hist	0	0	no	1
Drone	drone	37	8	0.22	nnnnYYYYYn	1	0	0.36	hist	0	0	yes	1
Too Late	too late	19	4	0.21	nnnnYnnnnn	1	1	0.32	hist	0	0	yes	1
Hormuz	hormuz	16	3	0.19	nnnYYnnnnn	1	0	0.32	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	313	30	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.29	hist	0	0	no	1
Affair	affair	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Cure to Cancer	cure to cancer	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Egghead	egghead	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Finish the Job	finish the job	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
No Inflation	no inflation	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Roadside Bomb	roadside bomb	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1