Will Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 30+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 30+ times at 6 of 11 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 8, 2025 (55%), most recently on Oct 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times
- Probability
- 52% · n=11
- Settled
- 6/11 (55%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
40 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history, and allowed 25 million people to invade your country by pouring across our borders from all…
…going to get him to vote against us. Every single one, you know, I gave, as you know, $12 billion just recently to the farmers.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 40 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 30+ times at 6 of 11 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 8, 2025 (55%), most recently on Oct 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-or-trillion-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20trillion%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP