# JD Vance (jd-vance) · presser 2026-10-21 · 25 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT21 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:24:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-10-21 · tn/th last 5 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-09-03 (under 2 presser transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT21 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Democrat	democrat	55	44	0.8	YYYYYYYYYY	5	4	0.81	yes
Election	election	42	26	0.62	YYYYYYYYYY	5	1	0.69	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	48	32	0.67	YYYYYYnnYY	5	3	0.65	no
Taxpayer	taxpayer	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	5	4	0.64	yes
Biden	biden	72	50	0.69	YYYYYYnYYn	5	4	0.64	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	31	17	0.55	YnYYYYYYYY	5	3	0.64	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	15	10	0.67	YYYYYYnnnY	5	4	0.59	no
Hospice	hospice	3	2	0.67	nYY	5	1	0.56	no
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	13	8	0.62	nYYYnYYYnn	5	2	0.56	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	16	10	0.62	YYYYYYnnnn	5	1	0.55	no
Healthcare	healthcare	41	19	0.46	YnYYnnnnYn	5	3	0.53	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	35	16	0.46	YYnYnnYYnn	5	4	0.49	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	17	8	0.47	nnYYYYYnnn	5	4	0.48	no
California	california	23	11	0.48	nnnYnnYnnn	5	1	0.45	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	23	12	0.52	YnnYnnYnnn	5	1	0.44	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	26	9	0.35	nYYYYnnYnn	5	1	0.44	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	25	11	0.44	YnnnnnnnYn	5	2	0.42	no
Shirley	shirley	2	0	0	nn	5	0	0.39	no
Small Business	small business	10	3	0.3	YnYnYnnnnn	5	1	0.34	no
Food Stamp / SNAP	food stamp|snap	8	1	0.12	nnnnnYnn	5	2	0.32	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	59	10	0.17	YnnnnnnYnn	5	3	0.31	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	5	0	0	nnnnn	5	0	0.29	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	19	3	0.16	nYnnnYnnnn	5	1	0.27	no
Radical Left	radical left	35	3	0.09	nnnYYYnnnn	5	0	0.25	no
America First	america first	51	7	0.14	YnnnnYnnnn	5	0	0.21	no