# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-06-30 (settled) · 14 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:38:27Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-30 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-06-24..2026-06-29 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump after April 1, 2026 at 12:00pm ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# coverage 30 of 40 known appearances transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window (as of 2026-10-21T04:05:49Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Gulf of Trump	gulf of trump	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.59	hist	0	0	yes		1
Trump Card	trump card	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.55	hist	0	0	yes		1
TrumpRX	trumprx	11	7	0.64	nnYYYnnYYY	8	1	0.49	hist	7	7	yes	1	
Trump Account	trump account	4	3	0.75	YYYn	8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	yes		1
Trump Strait / Strait of Trump	strait of trump|trump strait	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	yes		1
Trump Tower	trump tower	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	no		1
Trump Kennedy Center	trump kennedy center	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	yes		1
Trump National / Trump International	trump international|trump national	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	yes		1
Trump University	trump university	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	no		1
Fort Trump	fort trump	0	0			8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	no		1
Mount Trump	mount trump	0	0			8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	no		1
Trump Airport	trump airport	0	0			8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	no		1
Trump Arc / Arc de Trump	arc de trump|trump arc	0	0			8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	no		1
Trump Dollar / Trump Bill	trump bill|trump dollar	0	0			8	0	0.55	prior	0	0	no		1