# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2026-03-26 · 19 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAR26 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:14:32Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-26 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAR26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News: The Five, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Biden	biden	1	213	148	0.69	YYnnYnYYYY	1	1	0.62	yes
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	9	7	0.78	YnnYYYYYY	1	0	0.58	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	20	12	0.6	YYYYnYnYnY	1	1	0.57	yes
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating	cheat|cheater|cheating	1	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.54	no
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	1	15	9	0.6	nYYYYYnnYY	1	1	0.53	no
Eight War	eight war	1	64	36	0.56	YnnYnYnnnY	1	1	0.53	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	15	9	0.6	nYYYYnnYYn	1	1	0.52	yes
Save America Act	save america act	1	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.51	no
Tariff	tariff	1	149	98	0.66	YnYYnnnnnY	1	1	0.51	no
Fake News	fake new	1	76	42	0.55	YYnnYYnYnY	1	1	0.48	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	47	19	0.4	nnYYYYnnnn	1	1	0.43	no
Radical Left	radical left	1	58	27	0.47	YYnYYnnnYY	1	1	0.41	no
Negotiate / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiation	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.4	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	4	2	0.5	YYnn	1	1	0.39	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	19	6	0.32	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.39	no
Cuba	cuba	1	11	4	0.36	nnnnYnnYYn	1	0	0.37	no
ICE	ice	1	24	8	0.33	nnnnYYYnYY	1	1	0.37	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	76	27	0.36	nnYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.36	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	12	3	0.25	nnYnnnnnnn	1	1	0.29	no