# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-07-30 · 30 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUL30 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:07:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-07-30 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUL30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of remarks on Making Health Technology Great Again, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	25	22	0.88	YYYYYnYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	22	19	0.86	YYnYYnYYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Trade	trade	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Energy	energy	9	6	0.67	nYnYYYYnY	0.56	hist	yes
Obama	obama	9	6	0.67	YYnnnYYYY	0.54	hist	no
Autopen	autopen	9	6	0.67	YnYnYnYYY	0.52	hist	no
Beautiful	beautiful	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.47	hist	yes
Pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.43	hist	no
Kennedy	kennedy	2	2	1	YY	0.41	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	8	4	0.5	YnnYYYnn	0.41	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	1	1	Y	0.4	hist	yes
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
Drug	drug	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.39	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	10	5	0.5	YYYnYnYnnn	0.39	hist	no
Make America Healthy Again / MAHA	maha|make america healthy again	0	0			0.39	hist	no
Vaccine	vaccine	1	1	1	Y	0.38	hist	no
Abortion	abortion	10	6	0.6	YnYYYYYnnn	0.37	hist	no
DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion	dei|diversity equity and inclusion	6	2	0.33	nnYYnn	0.34	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	40	10	0.25	nnnnnnnnYn	0.31	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	12	3	0.25	YnnYYnnnnn	0.29	hist	no
Powell	powell	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist	no
Casey Means	casey mean	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Device	device	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Diabetes	diabete	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Fat Shot	fat shot	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Hate Our Country	hate our country	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Opioid	opioid	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Rate	rate	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Smart	smart	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Too Late	too late	0	0			0.37	prior	no