Will Donald Trump say “Kennedy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kennedy” at 3 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (33%), most recently on Jul 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kennedy
- Probability
- 33% · n=9
- Settled
- 3/9 (33%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…with the help of Secretary of Health and Human Services, how much do we like this guy Robert F. Kennedy Jr. What a great guy.
…fail. Because -- I'll make this announcement today on behalf of Secretary Kennedy, Health and Human Services, that we are going to defer $1.2 billion…
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Kennedy |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kennedy |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kennedy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kennedy | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kennedy | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Kennedy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Kennedy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Kennedy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Kennedy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Kennedy | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kennedy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kennedy” at 3 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (33%), most recently on Jul 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kennedy” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kennedy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kennedy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kennedy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP