Will Donald Trump say “Rate”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Rate” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rate
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…what they say. You're going to see a poll later on. They rate the presidents in terms of their greatness. I'm proud to say, let's…
…We've gotten most of the really bad ones out. And the murder rate sounds horrible to talk about here, but the murder rate is the…
…brought crime to record lows, violent crime to record lows, the murder rate to the lowest in 125 years, but now you're bringing cybercrime to…
Interest rates are very soon going to be falling just like oil, gas, everything's going to be. We watch what's going to be happening very…
…that program 24% in the last three years. That is twice the rate of every other state average in the country. Impossible for us to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Rate |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rate”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Rate” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rate” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP