Will Donald Trump say “Smart”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Smart” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Smart
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…word. Now it's number five. But right now, because of tariffs and smart people like Scott and Howard and we love Bobby. Wow. How about…
…test. And I thought it was great. I thought, "Oh, I'm so smart. That's so such a great idea." And then you know what they…
…people I've known her a long time but everybody respects her. She's smart and incredible. She'll never let you down. In fact, you know, in…
…JD and his people. And they really are, they are amazing people, smart. It's incredible, without any incentive, the kind of money that they've already…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Smart”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Smart” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Smart” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Smart’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/smart (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=smart · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP