Will Donald Trump say “MAGA”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “MAGA” at 12 of 15 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (80%), most recently on May 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

46%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=maga

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

MAGA

Probability
46% · n=15
Settled
12/15 (80%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

CNN chart narrationotherDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 1:29:10In transcript

Okay. MAGA GOP on Trump. In the 2024 election versus Kla Harris, he got 99% of the MAGA GOP vote. Perhaps surprisingly, I might have…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:39:50In transcript

…science. It's 49 percent less. If I can get my voters -- MAGA, Republicans, whatever you want to call them, if they get out to…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 24, 2026MAGAPolymarketNo
May 22, 2026MAGAPolymarketYes
Jan 21, 2025MAGAPolymarketNo
Jan 7, 2025MAGAPolymarketYes
Dec 5, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Nov 15, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Aug 29, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Aug 23, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Aug 22, 2024MAGAPolymarketNo
Aug 17, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Aug 15, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Aug 12, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Jul 27, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Jul 18, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes
Jun 27, 2024MAGAPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “MAGA”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “MAGA” at 12 of 15 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (80%), most recently on May 22, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “MAGA” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘MAGA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/maga (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=maga · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP