Will Kathy Hochul say “Tariff”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Tariff” at 7 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (47%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

44%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=tariff

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Tariff

Probability
44% · n=15
Settled
7/15 (47%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 13, 2026TariffKalshiNo
May 27, 2026TariffKalshiNo
May 11, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026TariffKalshiYes
Apr 22, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Apr 21, 2026TariffKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026TariffKalshiYes
Apr 2, 2026TariffKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026TariffKalshiYes
Mar 23, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026TariffKalshiYes
Mar 15, 2026TariffKalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Mar 6, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026TariffKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Tariff” at 7 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (47%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Tariff” next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP