Will Kathy Hochul say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 16 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (70%), most recently on Jul 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.

61%from settlement history only · n=23counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Safe / Safer / Safety

Probability
61% · n=23
Settled
16/23 (70%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her Public Safety Announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her Let Them Build announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her World Cup announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 23 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 2, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Jun 23, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Jun 17, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Jun 13, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Jun 12, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Jun 10, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Jun 5, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
May 29, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
May 27, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Apr 21, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026Safe / Safety / SaferKalshiYes
Apr 8, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Apr 6, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Mar 15, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Mar 6, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Feb 12, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Feb 4, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 16 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (70%), most recently on Jul 2, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Safe / Safer / Safety” next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Safe / Safer / Safety’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/safe-or-safer-or-safety (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=safe%20%2F%20safer%20%2F%20safety · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP