Will Kathy Hochul say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 16 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (70%), most recently on Jul 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceKathy Hochul
Safe / Safer / Safety
- Probability
- 61% · n=23
- Settled
- 16/23 (70%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 23 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | No | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | No | |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | No | |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | No | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | No | |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| May 29, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| May 27, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Safe / Safety / Safer | Yes | |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | No | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | No | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 16 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (70%), most recently on Jul 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Safe / Safer / Safety” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Safe / Safer / Safety’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/safe-or-safer-or-safety (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=safe%20%2F%20safer%20%2F%20safety · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP