Congressional hearings, Jun 23, 2026
Kalshi What will the witnesses say during the Senate Banking hearing on Affordability?
Markets
16 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: any witness Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Dream | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zoning / Permit | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blockchain | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Capital Gains | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| First Time Homebuyer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Genius Act | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Interest Rate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inventory | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mortgage | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wall Street | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fannie / Freddie | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Landlord | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN23B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP