Will “Trump” be said on The Briefing next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on The Briefing in 24 of 29 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (83%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=29, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 8, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

62%from settlement history only · n=29counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Briefing with Jen Psaki

Trump

Probability
62% · n=29
Settled
24/29 (83%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

42 by speakers the rule does not count.

Sununu adother8:56In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Raphael Warnockother16:12In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mark Kelly say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Amy Klobuchar say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 38 by speakers the rule does not count.

Amy Klobucharguest19:01In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Amy Klobucharguest23:51In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 36 by speakers the rule does not count.

Wes Mooreguest16:03In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

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What will Josh Shapiro say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 7 times (counts)

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Find “Trump” in this transcript

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will JB Pritzker say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 17 times (counts)

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Find “Trump” in this transcript

What will Troy Jackson say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 3 times (counts)

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Find “Trump” in this transcript

What will Josh Turek say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 29 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Sep 29, 2026TrumpKalshiYes2
Sep 22, 2026TrumpKalshiYes3
Sep 17, 2026TrumpKalshiNo0
Sep 16, 2026TrumpKalshiYes7
Sep 8, 2026TrumpKalshiYes17
Sep 2, 2026TrumpKalshiYes3
Aug 27, 2026TrumpKalshiNo0
Aug 26, 2026TrumpKalshiYes5
Aug 25, 2026TrumpKalshiNo0
Jun 23, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jun 17, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Jun 12, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jun 11, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jun 10, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
May 27, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 14, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 9, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 7, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 20, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 19, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 13, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Feb 12, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jan 29, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jan 7, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Dec 10, 2025TrumpKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Trump” said on The Briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on The Briefing in 24 of 29 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (83%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump” is said on The Briefing next time?
62%, from settlement history (n=29). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP