The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Feb 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Jamie Raskin say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
10 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ghislaine / Maxwell | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kash / Patel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pam / Bondi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Victim / Survivor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Howard / Lutnick | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26FEB12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP