Will “Fraud” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fraud” was said on Fox News in 6 of 22 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (27%), most recently on Jun 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=22, from settlement history), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history only · n=22counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=fraud

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

Fraud

Probability
32% · n=22
Settled
6/22 (27%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

adotherFox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade, August 23, 2026 · Aug 23, 2026 · 25:33In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · not listed

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What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 22 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 15, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Aug 8, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Aug 2, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Jun 13, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 30, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 28, 2026FraudKalshiYes
May 12, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 11, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 3, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Apr 26, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Apr 26, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Apr 6, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Apr 3, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Mar 24, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Mar 4, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Feb 27, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Feb 15, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Feb 4, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Jan 28, 2026FraudKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Fraud” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fraud” was said on Fox News in 6 of 22 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (27%), most recently on Jun 27, 2026.
What is the probability “Fraud” is said on Fox News next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=22). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP