Fox News (interviews): Episode, Mar 4, 2026
Kalshi What will Bret Baier say during his show?
Markets
13 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | No | 67%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Noem | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Russia | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epic Fury | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hezbollah | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Khamenei / Ayatollah | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAR04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP