Fox News (interviews): Episode, Feb 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Bret Baier say during his show?
Markets
14 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic / Olympics | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Clinton | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drone | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Snow / Snowball | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / Border | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mamdani | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Saudi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 20%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26FEB27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP