Fox News (interviews): Episode, Apr 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Sean Hannity say during his show?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 67%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 64%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 60%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Newsom / Newscum | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NASA / Artemis | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 63%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 61%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pam / Bondi | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stock Market | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 20%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR03B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP