Jerome Powell
History Wall
141–165 of 165, most settled first · page 3 of 3| Word | Aug 22 ’25speech | Aug 24speech | Sep 23speech | Oct 14speech | Oct 15speech | Oct 25remarks | Dec 2panel | Mar 19 ’26remarks | Mar 30remarks | May 31latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obvious | Not listed: Obvious, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Obvious, Aug 24 speech | Settled no: Obvious, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Obvious, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Obvious, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Obvious, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Obvious, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Obvious, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Obvious, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Obvious, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Overheat | Not listed: Overheat, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Settled no: Overheat, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Overheat, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Overheat, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Overheat, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Overheat, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Overheat, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Overheat, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Overheat, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Overheat, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Percent10+ times | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Sep 23 speech | Settled no: Percent 10+ times, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Percent 10+ times, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Political | Not listed: Political, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Settled no: Political, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Political, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Political, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Political, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Political, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Political, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Political, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Political, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Political, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Princeton5+ times | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Princeton 5+, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Princeton 5+, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| QT / Quantitative Tightening | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Aug 24 speech | Settled no: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: QT / Quantitative Tightening, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Race / Racism | Not listed: Race / Racism, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Race / Racism, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Race / Racism, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Race / Racism, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Race / Racism, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Race / Racism, Oct 25 remarks | Settled no: Race / Racism, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Race / Racism, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Race / Racism, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Race / Racism, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Renovation | Not listed: Renovation, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Settled no: Renovation, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Renovation, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Renovation, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Renovation, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Renovation, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Renovation, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Renovation, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Renovation, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Renovation, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Replace / Replaced / Replacement | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Dec 2 panel | Settled no: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Replace / Replaced / Replacement, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Resilience | Not listed: Resilience, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Resilience, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Resilience, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Resilience, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Resilience, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Resilience, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Resilience, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Resilience, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Resilience, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Resilience, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Risk | Not listed: Risk, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Risk, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Risk, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Risk, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Risk, Oct 15 speech | Settled no: Risk, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Risk, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Risk, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Risk, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Risk, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Robust | Not listed: Robust, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Robust, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Robust, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Robust, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Robust, Oct 15 speech | Settled no: Robust, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Robust, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Robust, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Robust, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Robust, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| R* / R-star / R star | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: R* / R-star / R star, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Slowdown | Not listed: Slowdown, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Slowdown, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Slowdown, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Slowdown, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Slowdown, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Slowdown, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Slowdown, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Slowdown, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Slowdown, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Slowdown, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Stock | Not listed: Stock, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Stock, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Stock, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Stock, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Stock, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Stock, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Stock, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Stock, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Stock, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Stock, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Summer | Settled no: Summer, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Summer, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Summer, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Summer, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Summer, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Summer, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Summer, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Summer, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Summer, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Summer, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff10+ times | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Aug 22 ’25 speech | Settled no: Tariff (10+ times), Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Tariff (10+ times), May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff15+ times | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 15+ times, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff6+ times | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Sep 23 speech | Settled no: Tariff 6+ times, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Tariff 6+ times, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Thank you3+ times | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Thank you 3+, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Thank you 3+, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Theranos | Not listed: Theranos, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Theranos, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Theranos, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Theranos, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Theranos, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Theranos, Oct 25 remarks | Settled no: Theranos, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Theranos, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Theranos, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Theranos, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trade Deficit | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Trade Deficit, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Trade Deficit, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Unemployment15+ times | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Unemployment 15+ times, May 31 remarks | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Volatility | Not listed: Volatility, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: Volatility, Aug 24 speech | Settled no: Volatility, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: Volatility, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: Volatility, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: Volatility, Oct 25 remarks | Not listed: Volatility, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: Volatility, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: Volatility, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: Volatility, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| World War | Not listed: World War, Aug 22 ’25 speech | Not listed: World War, Aug 24 speech | Not listed: World War, Sep 23 speech | Not listed: World War, Oct 14 speech | Not listed: World War, Oct 15 speech | Not listed: World War, Oct 25 remarks | Settled no: World War, Dec 2 panel | Not listed: World War, Mar 19 ’26 remarks | Not listed: World War, Mar 30 remarks | Not listed: World War, May 31 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jerome-powell · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jerome-powell · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP