Will Jerome Powell say “Volatility”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Volatility” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2025.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=volatility

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Jerome Powell

Volatility

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

CLAIRE JONESreporterFOMC press conference, January 28, 2026 · Jan 28, 2026 · 9:24In transcript

…driving the U.S. currency lower? And have you been at all concerned just by the extent of the volatility we’ve seen this week? Thank you.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, July 30, 2025 · Jul 30, 2025 · 57:56In transcript

…focusing on the first half of the year helps smooth through the volatility in the quarterly figures related to the unusual swings in net exports.…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, June 18, 2025 · Jun 18, 2025 · 40:00In transcript

…on the size of their surveys. That’s going to lead to more volatility in the surveys. I think we should take a step back. And,…

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · not listed

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Speech? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 23, 2025VolatilityKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Volatility”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Volatility” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Volatility” next time?
27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Volatility’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/volatility (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=volatility · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP