Will Jerome Powell say “QT / Quantitative Tightening”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “QT / Quantitative Tightening” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
QT / Quantitative Tightening
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…“concerned.” So what really happened is this: Balance sheet shrinkage, sometimes called QT, went on. We had a framework in place for monitoring it, and…
Can I just ask you a quick follow-up on QT? How much of the fund impressions we’ve seen in money markets are related to the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | QT / Quantitative Tightening |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “QT / Quantitative Tightening”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “QT / Quantitative Tightening” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “QT / Quantitative Tightening” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘QT / Quantitative Tightening’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/qt-or-quantitative-tightening (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=qt%20%2F%20quantitative%20tightening · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP