Will Donald Trump say “Television / TV”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Television / TV” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (71%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Television / TV
- Probability
- 62% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and thousands of people that unfortunat we put up those big uh television screens, those massive television screens. You know how I know they're massive?…
…happened. When -- when it happened, I would watch his son on television. I'd watch his family on television begging, virtually, to -- for him…
…this massive human being next to him. You've seen him her on television. and she had to compete. And my wife said, "Please don't tell…
…not exactly a very beautiful woman, nice woman, and she was on television recently talking about the fact that our men are gone. She's a…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Television / TV |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Television / TV | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 10, 2026 | Television / TV | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Television / TV | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Television / TV | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Television / TV | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jan 29, 2026 | TV / Television | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Television / TV”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Television / TV” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (71%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Television / TV” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Television / TV’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/television-or-tv (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=television%20%2F%20tv · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP