Will Donald Trump say “Gold / Golden”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gold / Golden” at 10 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 12, 2025 (77%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gold / Golden
- Probability
- 67% · n=13
- Settled
- 10/13 (77%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a dark age of America. But we quickly turned it into the golden age of America. That's what it is right now. And no other…
…There's a good one. He's a good one. But we're in the golden age of America right now. There's never been a time like it.…
…then you have senior citizens, who are going to be living their golden years, are now living in poverty. And for years and years and…
…but we quickly turned it right now into we are in the golden age of America. There's never been a time like this. We achieved…
…world in just about everything. And, you know, I call it the golden age. It's the golden age of America. It's a pretty amazing time.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gold / Golden |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| May 31, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Gold / Golden |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gold / Golden”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gold / Golden” at 10 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 12, 2025 (77%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gold / Golden” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gold / Golden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gold-or-golden (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gold%20%2F%20golden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP