Will Donald Trump say “Restaurant”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Restaurant” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 1, 2026 (20%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Restaurant
- Probability
- 42% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Tourism is thriving. Restaurants are bustling, and people are proud of our nation's capital. They're proud like never before. We've invested more money in the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Restaurant |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Restaurant | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 24, 2026 | Restaurant | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Restaurant | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Restaurant | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Restaurant”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Restaurant” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 1, 2026 (20%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Restaurant” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Restaurant’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/restaurant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=restaurant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP