Will Donald Trump say “Africa”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Africa” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Africa
- Probability
- 44% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…criminal syndicates to fleece American citizens. They're in Southeast Asia. They're in Africa. They're in the Middle East. And the FBI's Operation Blackout, with our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Africa”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Africa” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Africa” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Africa’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/africa (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=africa · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP