# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-22 · 21 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV22 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:12:05Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-22 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of meeting with Zohran Mamdani, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	67	51	0.76	YYnnnnYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Biden	biden	109	84	0.77	YYYnnYYYnY	0.7	hist	yes
Drug	drug	20	13	0.65	YYnnnYYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Israel	israel	44	25	0.57	YnnYYYYYnn	0.55	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	75	39	0.52	nnnnYYYYYn	0.54	hist	no
Investment	investment	38	20	0.53	nYnnnnYYYY	0.5	hist	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	0	0			0.49	hist	no
Grocery	grocery	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
Middle East	middle east	21	10	0.48	nnnYYYnnnn	0.43	hist	yes
National Guard	national guard	22	8	0.36	YnnnnYnnnn	0.39	hist	no
Crime	crime	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Disaster	disaster	18	9	0.5	nYYnYnYnnY	0.37	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	54	20	0.37	nnnnnnYnnn	0.36	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	2	1	0.5	nY	0.35	hist	yes
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	15	5	0.33	nnnnYnnnnn	0.35	hist	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	0	0			0.31	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	16	5	0.31	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.3	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	36	5	0.14	nnnnYYnnnn	0.3	hist	no
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	0	0			0.3	hist	no
ICE	ice	19	4	0.21	nnnnnnnnnY	0.17	hist	yes
Capitalism	capitalism	0	0			0.41	prior	no