What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Equality / Inequality” next time?

26%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Equality / Inequality”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Equality / Inequality” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Equality / Inequality” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 speeches we have transcripts for (Apr 12, 2026 – Jun 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

26%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak: not said the last 5 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 02:38 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Equality / Inequality

Probability: 26% · n=5
Settled: 0/5 (0%)
Last 2 speeches: said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…Cathleen Synge Morawetz proved what would become known as the first Morowitz inequality, fundamentally reshaping the modern understanding of how waves began. And in 2007,…