What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Ticket” next time?

44%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Ticket”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Ticket” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Ticket” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

44%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 10:07 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Ticket

Probability: 44% · n=2
Settled: 1/2 (50%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…workshops with our season artists here at the Starr and given free tickets to see the programming to further integrate them into the goings-on at…