What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Accountable / Accountability” next time?

25%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Accountable / Accountability”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Accountable / Accountability” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Accountable / Accountability” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (14%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

25%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no
Streak: not said the last 4 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 08:04 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Accountable / Accountability

Probability: 25% · n=7
Settled: 1/7 (14%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…And what we also make clear is that with every promise comes accountability. And we will all work together to ensure that's exactly what we're…

Public Advocate Jumaane WilliamsotherMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…community. I just want to make that clear. There has to be accountability. You can't run up shooting people. But we are very, very good…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Appears on Univision's ¡Despierta América! · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…in delivering for New Yorkers, even when it means holding large-scale corporations accountable. And when it comes to DoorDash, one of the largest companies in…