Will Donald Trump say “Terrorist”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terrorist” at 8 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2024 (57%), most recently on Apr 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Terrorist
- Probability
- 51% · n=14
- Settled
- 8/14 (57%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…mark the third anniversary of the October 7th attack in Israel, where terrorists funded by Iran tortured, mutilated and killed 1200 very innocent civilians, including…
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Terrorist |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Terrorist | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Terrorist | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Terrorist |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Terrorist | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Terrorist | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Terrorist | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Terrorist”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terrorist” at 8 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2024 (57%), most recently on Apr 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Terrorist” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Terrorist’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP