Will Donald Trump say “Comrade Kamala” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Comrade Kamala” 3+ times at 5 of 15 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2024 (33%), most recently on Sep 13, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 7 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Comrade Kamala 3+ times
- Probability
- 41% · n=15
- Settled
- 5/15 (33%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 15 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Comrade Kamala 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Comrade Kamala” 3+ times at 5 of 15 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2024 (33%), most recently on Sep 13, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Comrade Kamala 3+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Comrade Kamala 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/comrade-kamala-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=comrade%20kamala%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP