Tim Walz
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 182 word markets on Tim Walz’s appearances since 2024, on 86 different words; most reliably said: “Trump” (8 of 9).
History Wall
1–40 of 91, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Jan 5conference | Jan 6conference | Jan 7conference | Jan 15speech | Jan 26conference | Jan 29interview | Mar 4hearing | Mar 6briefing | Mar 10conference | Mar 26latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Jan 5 conference | Settled yes: Trump, Jan 6 conference | Settled yes: Trump, Jan 7 conference | Settled yes: Trump, Jan 15 speech | Settled yes: Trump, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Trump, Jan 29 interview | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 4 hearing | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 6 briefing | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 10 conference | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 26 interview | 8/989% | 8/989% | 63%n=9 from settlement history |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 5 conference | Settled yes: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 6 conference | Settled yes: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 15 speech | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 29 interview | Settled yes: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Mar 6 briefing | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Mar 10 conference | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Mar 26 interview | 3/838% | 3/838% | 35%n=8 from settlement history |
| Fraud | Settled yes: Fraud, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Fraud, Jan 6 conference | Settled yes: Fraud, Jan 7 conference | Settled yes: Fraud, Jan 15 speech | Settled yes: Fraud, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Fraud, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Fraud, Mar 4 hearing | Settled no: Fraud, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Fraud, Mar 10 conference | Settled no: Fraud, Mar 26 interview | 4/757% | 4/757% | 42%n=7 from settlement history |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Jan 5 conference | Settled yes: Republican, Jan 6 conference | Settled yes: Republican, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Republican, Jan 15 speech | Settled no: Republican, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Republican, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Republican, Mar 4 hearing | Settled yes: Republican, Mar 6 briefing | Settled yes: Republican, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Republican, Mar 26 interview | 4/757% | 4/757% | 54%n=7 from settlement history |
| ICE / National Guard | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jan 5 conference | Settled no: ICE / National Guard, Jan 6 conference | Settled no: ICE / National Guard, Jan 7 conference | Settled yes: ICE / National Guard, Jan 15 speech | Settled yes: ICE / National Guard, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: ICE / National Guard, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Mar 4 hearing | Settled yes: ICE / National Guard, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Mar 26 interview | 3/650% | 3/650% | 51%n=6 from settlement history |
| Investigate / Investigating / Investigation | Not listed: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Jan 7 conference | Settled yes: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Jan 15 speech | Settled no: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Jan 26 conference | Settled yes: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Mar 4 hearing | Settled yes: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Mar 6 briefing | Settled yes: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Investigate / Investigating / Investigation, Mar 26 interview | 4/580% | 4/580% | 59%n=5 from settlement history |
| Billion | Not listed: Billion, Jan 5 conference | Settled no: Billion, Jan 6 conference | Settled no: Billion, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Billion, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Billion, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Billion, Jan 29 interview | Settled yes: Billion, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Mar 6 briefing | Settled yes: Billion, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Billion, Mar 26 interview | 2/540% | 2/540% | 45%n=5 from settlement history |
| Race / Racism / Racist | Not listed: Race / Racism / Racist, Jan 5 conference | Settled yes: Race / Racism / Racist, Jan 6 conference | Settled yes: Race / Racism / Racist, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Race / Racism / Racist, Jan 15 speech | Settled no: Race / Racism / Racist, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Race / Racism / Racist, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Race / Racism / Racist, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Race / Racism / Racist, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Race / Racism / Racist, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Race / Racism / Racist, Mar 26 interview | 2/540% | 2/540% | 38%n=5 from settlement history |
| Protest / Protester | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Jan 7 conference | Settled yes: Protest / Protester, Jan 15 speech | Settled no: Protest / Protester, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Protest / Protester, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Mar 4 hearing | Settled no: Protest / Protester, Mar 6 briefing | Settled no: Protest / Protester, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Mar 26 interview | 1/520% | 1/520% | 33%n=5 from settlement history |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Iran, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Iran, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Iran, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Iran, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Iran, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Iran, Mar 4 hearing | Settled no: Iran, Mar 6 briefing | Settled no: Iran, Mar 10 conference | Settled yes: Iran, Mar 26 interview | 1/333% | 2/450% | 43%n=4 from settlement history |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jan 5 conference | Settled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jan 6 conference | Settled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jan 29 interview | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 4 hearing | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 26 interview | 2/450% | 2/450% | 51%n=4 from settlement history |
| Abortion | Not listed: Abortion, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Abortion, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Abortion, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Abortion, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Abortion, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Abortion, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Abortion, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Abortion, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Abortion, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Abortion, Mar 26 interview | – | 3/3100% | 55%n=3 from settlement history |
| Citizen / American | Not listed: Citizen / American, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Citizen / American, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Citizen / American, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Citizen / American, Jan 15 speech | Settled yes: Citizen / American, Jan 26 conference | Settled yes: Citizen / American, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Citizen / American, Mar 4 hearing | Settled yes: Citizen / American, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Citizen / American, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Citizen / American, Mar 26 interview | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | 62%n=3 from settlement history |
| Teacher | Not listed: Teacher, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Teacher, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Teacher, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Teacher, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Teacher, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Teacher, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Teacher, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Teacher, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Teacher, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Teacher, Mar 26 interview | – | 3/3100% | 55%n=3 from settlement history |
| Childcare / Child Care | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Jan 5 conference | Settled yes: Childcare / Child Care, Jan 6 conference | Settled no: Childcare / Child Care, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Childcare / Child Care, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Childcare / Child Care, Mar 26 interview | 1/333% | 1/333% | 39%n=3 from settlement history |
| Coach | Not listed: Coach, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Coach, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Coach, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Coach, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Coach, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Coach, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Coach, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Coach, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Coach, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Coach, Mar 26 interview | – | 1/333% | 47%n=3 from settlement history |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 29 interview | Settled yes: Healthcare, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 6 briefing | Settled no: Healthcare, Mar 10 conference | Settled no: Healthcare, Mar 26 interview | 1/333% | 1/333% | 37%n=3 from settlement history |
| Peace / Peaceful | Not listed: Peace / Peaceful, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Peace / Peaceful, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Peace / Peaceful, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Peace / Peaceful, Jan 15 speech | Settled yes: Peace / Peaceful, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Peace / Peaceful, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 4 hearing | Settled no: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 26 interview | 1/333% | 1/333% | 40%n=3 from settlement history |
| Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 5 conference | Settled no: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 6 conference | Settled no: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 26 interview | 0/30% | 0/30% | 31%n=3 from settlement history |
| Learing | Not listed: Learing, Jan 5 conference | Settled no: Learing, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Learing, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Learing, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Learing, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Learing, Jan 29 interview | Settled no: Learing, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Learing, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Learing, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Learing, Mar 26 interview | 0/30% | 0/30% | 34%n=3 from settlement history |
| Tampon | Not listed: Tampon, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Tampon, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Tampon, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Tampon, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Tampon, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Tampon, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Tampon, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Tampon, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Tampon, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Tampon, Mar 26 interview | – | 0/30% | 41%n=3 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 29 interview | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 6 briefing | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 26 interview | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 59%n=2 from settlement history |
| Campaign / Election | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Jan 5 conference | Settled yes: Campaign / Election, Jan 6 conference | Settled yes: Campaign / Election, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Campaign / Election, Mar 26 interview | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 59%n=2 from settlement history |
| Noem | Not listed: Noem, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Noem, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Noem, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Noem, Jan 15 speech | Settled yes: Noem, Jan 26 conference | Settled yes: Noem, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Noem, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Noem, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Noem, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Noem, Mar 26 interview | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 54%n=2 from settlement history |
| Homan | Not listed: Homan, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Homan, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Homan, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Homan, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Homan, Jan 26 conference | Settled yes: Homan, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Homan, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Homan, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Homan, Mar 10 conference | Settled no: Homan, Mar 26 interview | 1/250% | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| JD Vance | Not listed: JD Vance, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: JD Vance, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: JD Vance, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: JD Vance, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: JD Vance, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: JD Vance, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: JD Vance, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: JD Vance, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: JD Vance, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: JD Vance, Mar 26 interview | – | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| Nurse | Not listed: Nurse, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Nurse, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Nurse, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Nurse, Jan 15 speech | Settled yes: Nurse, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: Nurse, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Nurse, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Nurse, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Nurse, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Nurse, Mar 26 interview | 1/250% | 1/250% | 41%n=2 from settlement history |
| Racist / Racism | Settled no: Racist / Racism, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Jan 29 interview | Settled yes: Racist / Racism, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Mar 26 interview | 1/250% | 1/250% | 52%n=2 from settlement history |
| Taxpayer | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jan 5 conference | Settled yes: Taxpayer, Jan 6 conference | Settled no: Taxpayer, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Taxpayer, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Taxpayer, Mar 26 interview | 1/250% | 1/250% | 47%n=2 from settlement history |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Settled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Mar 26 interview | 0/10% | 0/20% | 33%n=2 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 7 conference | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 10 conference | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 26 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| Couch | Not listed: Couch, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Couch, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Couch, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Couch, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Couch, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Couch, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Couch, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Couch, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Couch, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Couch, Mar 26 interview | – | 0/20% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| Debate | Not listed: Debate, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Debate, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Debate, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Debate, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Debate, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Debate, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Debate, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Debate, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Debate, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Debate, Mar 26 interview | – | 0/20% | 38%n=2 from settlement history |
| Ilhan / Omar | Settled no: Ilhan / Omar, Jan 5 conference | Settled no: Ilhan / Omar, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Ilhan / Omar, Mar 26 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 36%n=2 from settlement history |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 4 hearing | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 6 briefing | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 26 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Kristi / Noem | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Mar 6 briefing | Settled no: Kristi / Noem, Mar 10 conference | Settled no: Kristi / Noem, Mar 26 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Jan 15 speech | Settled no: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Jan 26 conference | Settled no: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare, Mar 26 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 32%n=2 from settlement history |
| Shirley | Not listed: Shirley, Jan 5 conference | Settled no: Shirley, Jan 6 conference | Settled no: Shirley, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Shirley, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Shirley, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Shirley, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Shirley, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Shirley, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Shirley, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Shirley, Mar 26 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Obamacare/Affordable Care Act, Mar 26 interview | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Army | Not listed: Army, Jan 5 conference | Not listed: Army, Jan 6 conference | Not listed: Army, Jan 7 conference | Not listed: Army, Jan 15 speech | Not listed: Army, Jan 26 conference | Not listed: Army, Jan 29 interview | Not listed: Army, Mar 4 hearing | Not listed: Army, Mar 6 briefing | Not listed: Army, Mar 10 conference | Not listed: Army, Mar 26 interview | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | – |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Press conferenceMention: Tim Walz holds a Press Conference | no transcript | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Press briefingWhat will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | – |
| Mar 4, 2026 | HearingWhat will Tim Walz say during the Oversight Fraud hearing? | no transcript | 18 | 12 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jan 29, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Tim Walz say during his interview? | no transcript | 15 | 5 yes · 10 no | – |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? | no transcript | 13 | 7 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SpeechWhat will Tim Walz say during his statewide address? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Tim Walz say during his press conference? | no transcript | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | – |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? | no transcript | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | – |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Tim Walz say during his press conference on January 5? | no transcript | 12 | 2 yes · 10 no | – |
| Oct 1, 2024 | DebateWhat will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate? | no transcript | 23 | 13 yes · 10 no | – |
| Aug 29, 2024 | InterviewWhat will Walz say during CNN interview? | no transcript | 11 | 3 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Tim Walz: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tim-walz · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tim-walz · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP