Will Tim Walz say “Ilhan / Omar”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz did not say “Ilhan / Omar” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
36%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tim Walz
Ilhan / Omar
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Ilhan / Omar |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Ilhan / Omar |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Tim Walz say “Ilhan / Omar”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz did not say “Ilhan / Omar” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Tim Walz says “Ilhan / Omar” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Ilhan / Omar’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/ilhan-or-omar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=ilhan%20%2F%20omar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP