Will Tim Walz say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz said “Trump” at 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (89%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
63%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 8/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tim Walz
Trump
- Probability
- 63% · n=9
- Settled
- 8/9 (89%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | Trump |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Tim Walz say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz said “Trump” at 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (89%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Tim Walz says “Trump” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP