Will Tim Walz say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Tim Walz said “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (38%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tim Walz

Somali / Somalia / Somalian

Probability
35% · n=8
Settled
3/8 (38%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

Open the appearance

Mention: Tim Walz holds a Press Conference · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during the Oversight Fraud hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his interview? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his statewide address? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his press conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his press conference on January 5? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 26, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Mar 10, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Mar 4, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes
Jan 29, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Jan 26, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Jan 15, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Jan 7, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes
Jan 6, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tim Walz say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Tim Walz said “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (38%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026.
What is the probability Tim Walz says “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Somali / Somalia / Somalian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/somali-or-somalia-or-somalian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP