Will Tim Walz say “Campaign / Election”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz said “Campaign / Election” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tim Walz
Campaign / Election
- Probability
- 59% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Campaign / Election |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Campaign / Election | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Tim Walz say “Campaign / Election”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz said “Campaign / Election” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Tim Walz says “Campaign / Election” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Campaign / Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/campaign-or-election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=campaign%20%2F%20election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP