Will Tim Walz say “Race / Racism / Racist”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tim Walz said “Race / Racism / Racist” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jan 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tim Walz
Race / Racism / Racist
- Probability
- 38% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | Race / Racism / Racist |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Race / Racism / Racist | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Race / Racism / Racist | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Race / Racism / Racist | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Race / Racism / Racist | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Tim Walz say “Race / Racism / Racist”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tim Walz said “Race / Racism / Racist” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jan 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Tim Walz says “Race / Racism / Racist” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Race / Racism / Racist’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/race-or-racism-or-racist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=race%20%2F%20racism%20%2F%20racist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP