Will Tim Walz say “Republican”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz said “Republican” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (57%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

54%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=republican

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tim Walz

Republican

Probability
54% · n=7
Settled
4/7 (57%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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Mention: Tim Walz holds a Press Conference · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during the Oversight Fraud hearing? · not listed

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What will Tim Walz say during his interview? · settled no

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What will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? · settled no

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What will Tim Walz say during his statewide address? · settled no

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What will Tim Walz say during his press conference? · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during his press conference on January 5? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 10, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Mar 6, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Jan 29, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Jan 26, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Jan 15, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Jan 7, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Jan 6, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tim Walz say “Republican”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tim Walz said “Republican” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 6, 2026 (57%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
What is the probability Tim Walz says “Republican” next time?
54%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP