Will Tim Walz say “Citizen / American”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tim Walz said “Citizen / American” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tim Walz
Citizen / American
- Probability
- 62% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Citizen / American |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Citizen / American | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Citizen / American | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Tim Walz say “Citizen / American”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tim Walz said “Citizen / American” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Tim Walz says “Citizen / American” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Citizen / American’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/american-or-citizen (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=american%20%2F%20citizen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP