Will Tim Walz say “Investigate / Investigating / Investigation”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Tim Walz said “Investigate / Investigating / Investigation” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (80%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=investigate%20%2F%20investigating%20%2F%20investigation

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tim Walz

Investigate / Investigating / Investigation

Probability
59% · n=5
Settled
4/5 (80%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Tim Walz yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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Mention: Tim Walz holds a Press Conference · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during the Oversight Fraud hearing? · not listed

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What will Tim Walz say during his interview? · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? · settled no

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What will Tim Walz say during his statewide address? · settled yes

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What will Tim Walz say during his press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tim Walz say during his Press Conference? · not listed

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What will Tim Walz say during his press conference on January 5? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 10, 2026Investigate / Investigating / InvestigationKalshiYes
Mar 6, 2026Investigate / Investigating / InvestigationKalshiYes
Jan 29, 2026Investigate / Investigating / InvestigationKalshiYes
Jan 26, 2026Investigate / Investigating / InvestigationKalshiNo
Jan 15, 2026Investigate / Investigating / InvestigationKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tim Walz say “Investigate / Investigating / Investigation”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Tim Walz said “Investigate / Investigating / Investigation” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (80%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
What is the probability Tim Walz says “Investigate / Investigating / Investigation” next time?
59%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tim Walz: ‘Investigate / Investigating / Investigation’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-walz/words/investigate-or-investigating-or-investigation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tim-walz&word=investigate%20%2F%20investigating%20%2F%20investigation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tim-walz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP