Tim Walz: Press conference, Jan 5, 2026
Polymarket What will Tim Walz say during his press conference on January 5?
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Privilege | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Daycare 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ilhan / Omar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kamala / Harris | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| R-word | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reelection | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Resign / Resigning | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Racist / Racism | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-tim-walz-say-during-his-press-conference-on-january-5 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP