# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-03-26 · 25 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAR26B · as_of 2026-10-24T21:40:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-26 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAR26B ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at the Greek Independence Day Celebration, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	109	75	0.69	YYYYnYnYYY	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Iran	iran	82	55	0.67	YYYnYnYYYY	1	1	0.58	hist	no
New York	new york	32	22	0.69	YYYYYYnnYY	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	17	11	0.65	YYnYYYnnYn	1	1	0.57	hist	no
Biden	biden	213	148	0.69	YYnnYnYYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	122	80	0.66	YYYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.55	hist	no
NATO	nato	52	27	0.52	YYYnnYYYYn	1	1	0.55	hist	no
250	250	11	7	0.64	YYnYYnnnYY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Cyprus	cyprus	0	0			1	0	0.47	hist	yes
Oil	oil	55	26	0.47	YYYnYnnnYY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Turkey	turkey	7	4	0.57	nYYnnYY	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	180	94	0.52	nnnnnnnYnY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	16	8	0.5	YnYYnYYYnn	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Heritage	heritage	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.41	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Ottoman	ottoman	0	0			1	0	0.37	hist	no
Golden Age	golden age	10	5	0.5	YnYYYYnnnn	1	0	0.32	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	76	27	0.36	nnYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.32	hist	no
Excursion	excursion	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	1	0	0.3	hist	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	17	6	0.35	nYYYYYnnnn	1	0	0.29	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	39	10	0.26	nnnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.27	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	21	5	0.24	YnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.24	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	318	30	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	hist	no
Ancient	ancient	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	yes
Athens	athen	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	yes