Will Donald Trump say “NFL”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “NFL” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

42%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

NFL

Probability
42% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 1:02:40In transcript

…when the national anthems play. What's that all about? You know, the NFL did that for a while and they stopped because people stopped watching…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 11, 2026NFLPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
May 11, 2026NFLKalshiYes–
Feb 9, 2026NFLKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “NFL”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “NFL” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 11, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “NFL” next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘NFL’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/nfl (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=nfl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP